According to the latest analysis and prediction, by 2008 China's butadiene rubber industry's development speed will be slightly lower than the growth of downstream consumer demand, product supply gap of 30,000 to 50,000 tons. If you consider that some manufacturers may cause intermittent production due to problems with raw materials and devices, the gap between supply and demand may be even greater.
Production and consumption ranks second in the world With the rapid development of China's tire industry, especially the all-steel radial tire and rubber products industry, the demand for butadiene rubber has rapidly increased. China has become the world's second largest butadiene rubber after the United States. Production and consumer countries.
From 2000 to 2004, China's production of butadiene rubber was 313,400 tons, 334,100 tons, 341,200 tons, 390,600 tons, 390,700 tons; the apparent consumption was 32. 400,000 tons, 351,400 tons, 362,300 tons, 425,100 tons, and 468,000 tons; the import volume was 45,200 tons, 45,300 tons, 52,800 tons respectively. 64,000 tons and 107,000 tons; export volume was 34,600 tons, 28,000 tons, 31,700 tons, 29,500 tons and 36,000 tons respectively. In 2004, due to the shortage of high-priced raw materials, the development of the industry was constrained and the growth of domestic production slowed down.
At present, there are 7 sets of butadiene rubber production facilities in China, with a total production capacity of 436,000 tons/year. Among them, Sinopec Group Company has 4 sets, with a total production capacity of 306,000 tons/year, accounting for 70.2% of the total domestic production capacity; CNPC Group Corporation has 3 sets, with a total production capacity of 130,000 tons/year, accounting for domestic 29.8% of total capacity.
Of the seven domestic butadiene-butadiene rubber manufacturers, Yuehua and Jinzhou continued to park in early 2005 and there was no supply of goods. The output of other companies also shrank in varying degrees. At the same time, the number of imports has gradually increased, and import sources have penetrated into various regions of the country. At present, the supply markets of domestic enterprises are mainly concentrated in East China, followed by North China, South China, and Northeast China. The product flow of each enterprise has a certain emphasis.
As the usage of plastic modifiers has increased year by year and the tire industry’s demand for low-cis butadiene-butadiene rubber has gradually increased, there is no large-scale production of low-cis butadiene rubber devices in the country, and the dependence on imports is high. Since 2003, butadiene has been increasing. Imports of rubber increased significantly, mainly due to low cis-butadiene rubber, which accounted for 14% of domestic supply in the year. Imports in 2004 surged to 107,000 tons, accounting for 21.5% of domestic supply in the same year.
Tire is the largest consumer of consumption Currently, the consumption area of ​​China's butadiene rubber is mainly concentrated in tires, with a consumption of 324,000 tons; footwear, consumption is 45,000 tons; and power tires, consumption is 28,000. Tons; plastic modifiers, consumption of 44,000 tons, and hose tape and so on.
The tire industry is the largest consumer of butadiene-butadiene rubber, accounting for about 69% of total domestic consumption, and higher than the world average of 66%. Footwear industry is the second largest consumption area of ​​butadiene rubber, accounting for about 10% of the total consumption of butadiene rubber, but it is currently being partially replaced by TPR, EVA and other products. Butadiene rubber can also be used as high impact polystyrene, ABS impact modifier, the current consumption ratio is close to 10%, and with the increase of domestic PS, ABS production capacity, its proportion of consumption is gradually increasing. Although the application of natural rubber still dominates the tire industry, the proportion of synthetic rubber is also increasing. The butadiene rubber also occupies a certain proportion of consumption in industrial products such as conveyor belts, triangle belts, and hoses.
The gap between supply and demand in 2008 is still not small. From mid-July to late August 2005, Daqing will increase the production capacity of butadiene rubber by 30,000 tons/year, and the total production capacity will reach 80,000 tons/year; and Gaoqiao Petrochemical (joint venture) company In 2006, a new 100,000 metric tons/year polybutadiene butadiene styrene (SBR) polyfunctional device will be planned in the Zhaxi Development Zone, including 40,000 to 60,000 tons/year of low-cis butadiene rubber, which will be matched with the ABS equipment launched. Therefore, it is expected that by 2008, the total domestic butadiene rubber production capacity will reach 480,000 to 510,000 tons.
However, according to the international and domestic macroeconomic situation and the development prospects of the automotive industry, it is expected that the growth of demand for butadiene rubber in 2006-2008 will be mainly in the fields of tires, plastic modifiers and rubber shoes, and the demand for butadiene rubber will be 4% annually. The speed of growth. According to this calculation, in 2008 China's total demand for butadiene rubber will reach 530,000 to 540,000 tons, and the supply gap will still be 30,000 to 50,000 tons.
Production and consumption ranks second in the world With the rapid development of China's tire industry, especially the all-steel radial tire and rubber products industry, the demand for butadiene rubber has rapidly increased. China has become the world's second largest butadiene rubber after the United States. Production and consumer countries.
From 2000 to 2004, China's production of butadiene rubber was 313,400 tons, 334,100 tons, 341,200 tons, 390,600 tons, 390,700 tons; the apparent consumption was 32. 400,000 tons, 351,400 tons, 362,300 tons, 425,100 tons, and 468,000 tons; the import volume was 45,200 tons, 45,300 tons, 52,800 tons respectively. 64,000 tons and 107,000 tons; export volume was 34,600 tons, 28,000 tons, 31,700 tons, 29,500 tons and 36,000 tons respectively. In 2004, due to the shortage of high-priced raw materials, the development of the industry was constrained and the growth of domestic production slowed down.
At present, there are 7 sets of butadiene rubber production facilities in China, with a total production capacity of 436,000 tons/year. Among them, Sinopec Group Company has 4 sets, with a total production capacity of 306,000 tons/year, accounting for 70.2% of the total domestic production capacity; CNPC Group Corporation has 3 sets, with a total production capacity of 130,000 tons/year, accounting for domestic 29.8% of total capacity.
Of the seven domestic butadiene-butadiene rubber manufacturers, Yuehua and Jinzhou continued to park in early 2005 and there was no supply of goods. The output of other companies also shrank in varying degrees. At the same time, the number of imports has gradually increased, and import sources have penetrated into various regions of the country. At present, the supply markets of domestic enterprises are mainly concentrated in East China, followed by North China, South China, and Northeast China. The product flow of each enterprise has a certain emphasis.
As the usage of plastic modifiers has increased year by year and the tire industry’s demand for low-cis butadiene-butadiene rubber has gradually increased, there is no large-scale production of low-cis butadiene rubber devices in the country, and the dependence on imports is high. Since 2003, butadiene has been increasing. Imports of rubber increased significantly, mainly due to low cis-butadiene rubber, which accounted for 14% of domestic supply in the year. Imports in 2004 surged to 107,000 tons, accounting for 21.5% of domestic supply in the same year.
Tire is the largest consumer of consumption Currently, the consumption area of ​​China's butadiene rubber is mainly concentrated in tires, with a consumption of 324,000 tons; footwear, consumption is 45,000 tons; and power tires, consumption is 28,000. Tons; plastic modifiers, consumption of 44,000 tons, and hose tape and so on.
The tire industry is the largest consumer of butadiene-butadiene rubber, accounting for about 69% of total domestic consumption, and higher than the world average of 66%. Footwear industry is the second largest consumption area of ​​butadiene rubber, accounting for about 10% of the total consumption of butadiene rubber, but it is currently being partially replaced by TPR, EVA and other products. Butadiene rubber can also be used as high impact polystyrene, ABS impact modifier, the current consumption ratio is close to 10%, and with the increase of domestic PS, ABS production capacity, its proportion of consumption is gradually increasing. Although the application of natural rubber still dominates the tire industry, the proportion of synthetic rubber is also increasing. The butadiene rubber also occupies a certain proportion of consumption in industrial products such as conveyor belts, triangle belts, and hoses.
The gap between supply and demand in 2008 is still not small. From mid-July to late August 2005, Daqing will increase the production capacity of butadiene rubber by 30,000 tons/year, and the total production capacity will reach 80,000 tons/year; and Gaoqiao Petrochemical (joint venture) company In 2006, a new 100,000 metric tons/year polybutadiene butadiene styrene (SBR) polyfunctional device will be planned in the Zhaxi Development Zone, including 40,000 to 60,000 tons/year of low-cis butadiene rubber, which will be matched with the ABS equipment launched. Therefore, it is expected that by 2008, the total domestic butadiene rubber production capacity will reach 480,000 to 510,000 tons.
However, according to the international and domestic macroeconomic situation and the development prospects of the automotive industry, it is expected that the growth of demand for butadiene rubber in 2006-2008 will be mainly in the fields of tires, plastic modifiers and rubber shoes, and the demand for butadiene rubber will be 4% annually. The speed of growth. According to this calculation, in 2008 China's total demand for butadiene rubber will reach 530,000 to 540,000 tons, and the supply gap will still be 30,000 to 50,000 tons.
Head Screw,Hex Bolt,Blind Rivet Co., Ltd. , http://www.ejs-screw.com