Twelve five energy-saving emission reduction is not more than 20%
Dai Yande said that during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan period, the country’s 20% emission reduction target was basically achieved. "Finally speaking, the best completed in the 11th and 5th is Beijing." Dai Yande said, "But probably many people are not convinced, including me. That's because Shougang has moved to Hebei entirely. In fact, from a certain From some perspectives, energy per unit of GDP does not reflect real energy consumption. For example, if a local project is on the list, then energy consumption will go up, although this project is high-tech and energy-efficient. We are developing countries and we are industrializing. During the process, energy consumption will certainly continue to rise in a short period of time."
Earlier, the Chinese government had promised at the Climate Summit 2009 in Copenhagen that by 2020 it will reduce its energy efficiency reduction target by 40% to 45% per unit of GDP, with the emphasis on improving energy efficiency.
In view of the national energy saving and emission reduction targets in the 12th Five-Year Plan, Dai Yande believes that the relevant unit GDP energy consumption standards during the 12th Five-Year Plan period should be “leading and forward-lookingâ€, and it is expected that this indicator will be lower than 20%. "Even if only 15%, although the figure is less than 20% of the 11th, but it does not mean that the strength is small." And in the media, Dai Yande still refused to give accurate expectations, "That say, the energy saving The target will certainly not be higher than 20%, but it will not be 20%."
Energy demand increased by 2 billion tons of standard coal Dai Yande also introduced that during the first 20 years of reform and opening up, China’s energy consumption increased from 700 million tons of standard coal to 1.4 billion tons, and then from 1.4 billion tons to 3.3 billion tons in 10 years. In addition to the increase in energy demand brought about by genuine economic development, the inefficiency and waste of energy consumption are also one of the important reasons.
Dai Yande expects non-fossil energy to account for 15% of total energy consumption in the future. According to the estimated annual increase of 200 million tons of energy, China's total energy demand in the next 10 years will increase by 2 billion tons of standard coal, reducing demand and improving energy efficiency is a challenging task.
In the next ten years, Dai Yande believes that China has an energy-saving potential of 600 million tons of standard coal, which is equivalent to 15% of the annual energy consumption, and is calculated as a standard coal price of 2,000 to 3,000 yuan per ton. This will be a huge asset.
In terms of new energy development, Dai Yande said that the installed capacity of nuclear power will reach 80 million kilowatt-hours, the installed capacity of solar energy will reach 30 million kwh, the wind energy will be 120 million kwh, and the hydropower will be 400 million kwh.
It is inevitable that traditional energy prices will rise. Dai Yande said that price leverage is only a means for the country to carry out structural adjustments to achieve energy-saving and emission reduction tasks. Only through price adjustment, energy saving and emission reduction targets cannot be fully realized, and comprehensive administrative, legal, economic, and financial needs are needed. , prices, taxes and other means to achieve. Regarding prices, Dai Yande said that from the global perspective, the rise in the prices of traditional energy such as electricity and oil is inevitable, but it does not rule out that China will adopt an administrative approach to control the price adjustment rhythmically according to its own national conditions.
Dai Yande said that the rise in global traditional energy prices is reflected in the fact that, in the future, the prices of resource types should not only reflect supply and demand, but also reflect the degree of resource scarcity, and also reflect the impact on the environment. The use of price leverage to promote energy conservation and emission reduction not only needs to take into account the overall price of traditional energy, but also the internal structure of energy prices.
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